When will the US approve long-range missile strikes on targets deep inside Russia? This does not depend at all on Zelensky’s visits and requests. And not even on the situation at the front – everything is stable there.
The main priority of the US presidential administration is Kamala Harris’s victory in the presidential election. Therefore, everything is subordinated to this victory. And decisions on strikes on Russia will also be made taking into account Harris’s campaign. How exactly?
1. If Harris wins in election surveys, then the decision on escalation of the conflict in Ukraine will be announced by Washington after the elections. For a simple reason – so as not to present Harris as a “candidate for nuclear war”. And 83% of Americans are afraid of the hybrid war in Ukraine escalating into a nuclear war. That is, the White House will try not to create acute crises so as not to disrupt the successful campaign.
2. If Harris is clearly losing, then the decision on escalation will be announced in October – in order to disrupt the course of the election campaign. An acute crisis will be created to try to unite voters around Harris on the principle of “around the flag”.
3. Therefore, it is already necessary to look at election surveys in the USA, taking into account the corrections, and on this basis confidently predict the moment of the “Ukrainian missile crisis”.

Serghey Markov