by Claudiu Secara

Here is another case of opposite scenarios being played out simultaneously while obfuscating the real scenario that is in effect.

One is the inevitability of WWIII if Biden is re-elected against Trump, who nominally stands for peace. More people are openly talking not about “if“ but “how soon” WWIII will be upon us, given the belligerence of the lunatic left and Biden’s unrelenting rhetoric of arming Ukraine and then going after the Houthis on the new front opened in the Middle East. You can hear that scenario from Margarita Simonyan of RT or from the German Chief of Staff as presented by the tabloid Bild, etc. The secondary question, more or less unsettled, is about the place and the time of the start of the major war, whether in Eastern Europe when “Putin attacks NATO,” as more and more people suggest, or in the Middle East when the Houthis, or the Iranians, or ISIS attacks the US. It is never the US or Israel that is named as the initiator of WWIII, it is always the underdogs who are itching to start a war that they cannot win.

But on the other hand, it is now acknowledged by a different set of informed people that the partition of Ukraine has become inevitable (it is always “inevitable”). As Scott Ritter tells us, and Gilbert Doctorow sums it up, “Continuation of the war will likely lead to further territorial losses for Kiev, with the Russians taking the Black Sea littoral while Hungary, Romania and Poland all seize their historic territories where their own ethnic groups are strongly present today.” — That partition of Ukraine means that all the neighboring antagonists to Russia are getting their wishlist fulfilled and that implicitly precludes any casus belli against Russia by default.

Could these two scenarios, war or no war, both be possible? And how does the war in Gaza fit into this equation? Is Israel fulfilling its goal of ethnic cleansing and does it get away with murder in the name of Greater Israel, emerging on the ruins of Gaza? Or is this the momentous historical end of Jewish supremacy in the West and the establishment of the Palestinian state on the basis of a discredited Israel, its lies and criminal behavior exposed at the ICJ?

What should we expect?

Africa is another interesting region where incredible events are taking place, unthinkable just last year, never mind 5, 10 years ago.

The Central African Republic is asking Russia to build a military base for 10,000 Russian troops on the territory of the country and has already allocated a special plot of land for this purpose. This statement was made by Mr. Fidel Ngouandika, Advisor to the President of the Central African Republic (CAR), in a conversation with the African Initiative:

“We’d like the Russian Federation to build its military base in CAR, the government has already provided a plot in Beringo, 80 kilometers from [the capital] Bangui, where there is an international airport.”. 

Mr. Ngouandika sees the role of the Russian military as “to teach our soldiers to be disciplined, to respect human rights, to teach our soldiers to protect the territory, because the Russian Federation is the leading nuclear military power in the world”. Mr. Fidel Ngouandika is convinced that there is “no country in the world that can dominate Russia militarily”.

At the same time, 2024 is the first year since 1897 when France has no military presence on the territory of Niger. Just as Russia and Niger have agreed to develop military cooperation and work together to stabilize the security situation in the West African Sahel region, which has been plagued by jihadist violence for more than a decade.

These and scores of similar events create the unmistakable impression that the West must be in panic mode. It is not only the war in Ukraine that they are bound to lose, but we seem to be witnessing a creeping worldwide uprising against the West from every corner. And that includes most of Latin America, Argentina being the exception as it is going fully insane, having elected a perverse sex coach as President.

The BRICS economies have already overtaken the G7 economies in terms of GDP, on the basis of PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) while NATO armies are an embarrassment. The one aircraft carrier that the Brits planned to deploy in the Red Sea against the Houthis couldn’t make it for “lack of personnel”. Nice excuse, so we don’t have to find out their real military failures. By contrast, the American carrier apparently lost one of its F22s in the first shootout with the sandal-wearing Houthis, with two navy Seals lost at sea.

In Davos, the circus of chest beating and hubris is at its climax, although, behind the scenes, it is mostly an eventful charade of illegitimate sex and drugs, with many attendees proudly claiming that no self-respecting person would sit through the boring sessions; they’d rather attend the parties of dubious debauchery.

Now, all of this landscape does resemble the infamous turn-of-the-century malaise which preceded WWI. No one seemed prepared for the immediate start of hostilities, just like now, while in fact the preparations for war were surely underway. 

Remember the war in Libya? Not only was Gaddafi on good terms with France, he actually bankrolled the election of Sarkozy just as France was drawing up the plans to kill him. Saddam Hussein got a friendly nod from the American ambassador to attack Kuwait, an act which the US then used as the casus belli for invading Iraq.

We do, don’t we, have the illusion of appeasement just as the knives are being sharpened in the world’s arms factories. Before we had WWII, Chamberlain came out of Munich waving the famous piece of paper meaning “war was averted”; back to sipping wine at the dinner parties.

And then we have the upcoming American elections. Trump or Biden? Biden or Trump? 

But have you heard what Nikki Haley is saying lately? She went from literally zero annnual income a few years ago to $12 million income recently. Who is paying her this kind of money? Why? Just imagine that Biden drops dead – I mean drops his last wits. And just imagine that either Trump is indicted, or videos emerge showing him in inconvenient situations at Epstein’s Paradise Island, or something else that makes him unqualified to run in November.

Who is going to be next in line? No, not DeSantis. He is a straw-man. Here comes New Hampshire and who comes in the second in the Republican primary there? Nikki Haley!

Listen to what she has to say. 

But Nikki Haley means war. Not just war, but war, war, war.

War is indeed creeping up on us. A big war which will make us miss the days of the turn-of-the-century malaise. And if “past performance” in the wars of the twentieth century is any indication of the future outcome, then, if we survive, the war will end with the aggressor as the loser. And the aggressor in this instance is unmistakably the United States.