by Sergey Markov edited by Algora
Two years into the SMO (Special Military Operation).
1. Strong consolidation of Western civilization. The EU is completely subordinated to the US. Neutral countries have been eliminated. NATO as the main institution of Western civilization and the USA as the leading power are now fully established.
2. The fact that the sovereignty of countries such as Switzerland and Sweden, which existed for several centuries, has been eliminated shows that we are talking about changes in the West on a historical dimension not of years or decades, but centuries.
3. The composition of the Collective West is now clearly outlined – these are the 52 countries of Ramstein.
4. The West has clearly identified its enemies – Russia and China. The bet is on subordination first of Russia and then of China. The EU, which previously wanted to strategically cooperate with China, refused and began to sharply curtail cooperation with China.
5. The Global South is gradually taking shape as the Non-West. The non-Western’s disobedience to the West is expressed in non-adherence to sanctions against Russia.
6. The West believes that the result of its loss in the Ukrainian war will be its departure from the position of leader of human civilization, which it has held for the last 500 years.
7. The whole West is actually participating in the Ukrainian war. This participation is through delivery of weapons. This is also done through the reconnaissance and satellite provided information to the Ukrainian side; through the maintenance of the military equipment. Also through the special forces, designed as PMCs. And then there are the generals involved in planning of all major operations.
8. The West has found a very effective weapon of war against Russia: the Ukrainian army is fighting as a proxy NATO army. Ukraine has been transformed into an artificial, Western-controlled new-age militarized state. Ukraine has been turned into a modern weapon. A state of 30 million people is like a super weapon.
9. Yet the general offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in 2023 completely failed.
10. Western military warehouses are completely empty; except for the United States, which is saving its weapons for the war with China. As a consequence, the West is on the verge of militarizing its economy. If the decision is made, it will mean the West is ready for a big war for many years. And that is a complete change in the paradigm of peaceful development of the last 75 years.
11. Sanctions against Russia also have failed. But the push for more sanctions will continue even more.
12. The EU is now entering into a serious economic crisis, which is good for the economy of the USA.
13. Open support for the openly anti-democratic regime in Ukraine is an indicator of the beginning of the collapse of democratic institutions in the West. The West has began to abandon democratic principles. The phraseology of democracy will remain, but the elimination of democracy in the West seems very likely.
14. We also notice the actual abandonment of active environmental policy due to the Ukrainian war. While maintaining the phraseology of the green agenda, the environmental condition is actually deteriorating.
15. The West has completely lost allies within Russia.
16. The leading Western country, the United States, is teetering on the brink of a large-scale political crisis. If it happens, then the collapse of the West as a whole is possible.
17. It is possible that the reemergence of a new center could replace the United States as the leader of the West – that would be Germany. Germany became the main financier of the war in Ukraine against Russia.
18. But the most aggressive country in the West is the old Britannia.
19. We also have Infant Terrible of the West – that is Hungary. This is a special phenomenon. Its resilience bodes well for the possibility of a victory for the right-wing, now peace-loving populists in all Western countries.
20. Let’s not forget that every Western country has its own little Trumpik. And the majority of the population in most Western countries wants the Trumps to come to power. This is a demand for a policy of peace and in the interests of its population, and not of the global elites. This is the main political contradiction in Western countries.
21. The West is afraid of a nuclear war with Russia. But Western elites are becoming less and less afraid of nuclear brinksmanship with Russia. This is also a result of SMO.
22. The West believes that Russia really wants to end the war by freezing the conflict. But the West does not want to stop the conflict and still hopes to defeat Russia. And the West is ready to continue the conflict almost indefinitely.